HMM-driven trading botsv7c · multi-account

Trade the regimes,
not the noise.

Hidden Markov models classify the market into volatility regimes — calm, choppy, panic — and switch strategies on each transition. Paper or live, Alpaca or IBKR. Self-host free or let us run your fleet 24/7.

Tools for traders, not financial advice. See the risk disclaimer.

HMM Trade Pro · paper
live · 1m bars · last 120 ticks
+7.71%
session
regimelow_vol
leverage1.5×
exposure62%
67
indexed terms
4
vol regimes
24/7
crypto coverage
KMS
encrypted tokens

How a tick becomes a trade

Each bar (1 minute by default) flows through the same five-step pipeline. Risk gates fire on every order, not just at boot.

01

Features → HMM

Realized vol, ATR, ADX, RSI feed a trained HMM. The forward algorithm returns the active regime + confidence on every tick.

02

Strategy routing

Each regime maps to a sized strategy. Calm → trend with leverage; chop → flat; panic → defensive shorts (where allowed).

03

Risk + execution

Every order passes max-position, leverage, daily DD, and trade-count gates. Audit log records the rejection reason inline.

Why

Built for traders who read the source.

Every line of strategy code is open. Risk caps are absolute and per-bot. The HMM is just an HMM — no large model is in the loop deciding for you.

🧠

Hidden Markov regime model

BIC-selected number of states, weekly retrains with validation gates, forward-algorithm inference (no look-ahead).

🔒

KMS-encrypted broker tokens

Per-payload AES-256 data keys wrapped in Cloud KMS. DB compromise alone doesn't leak tokens.

📡

TradingView webhook routing

Pine v5 generator + per-bot URL routing. Drive bots from your existing alert library.

🪙

Stocks, crypto, options

Alpaca-routed equity + crypto on every tier. Options + futures + forex on the IBKR path (hosted IBKR is roadmap).

🎚️

Per-bot risk envelopes

max_single_position, max_leverage, daily_dd_halt — sibling bots are siloed. One bot's blow-up never touches another.

📓

Audit log of every decision

Every signal, gate, fill, halt — recorded. Click any rejection on the bot page to see the exact cap that fired.

What we don't claim
  • No guaranteed returns. The HMM helps you trade less in bad regimes; it doesn't predict price direction.
  • No proprietary alpha signal. The strategies are public textbook plays — vol-targeting, mean reversion, trend following — sized correctly.
  • No LLM in the trading loop. The decision pipeline is scikit-learn + numpy; the model boundary is sharp and inspectable.

Pricing that scales with your fleet

Free is genuinely free, forever. Pro is hosted compute. Live unlocks real money.

Free

Run one paper bot on your own machine.

$0/mo
  • 1 paper bot
  • Stock + crypto strategies
  • 7-day audit retention
  • Local install — bot runs on your laptop
  • Community support
Recommended

Pro

Hosted bots, all asset classes, real alerts.

$29/mo
  • 5 hosted paper bots — running 24/7 on our infra
  • Options, futures, forex, crypto
  • Email + webhook + Discord alerts
  • 90-day audit retention
  • TradingView webhook routing

Live

Live trading enabled, unlimited bots, IBKR support.

$79/mo
  • Unlimited hosted bots
  • Live brokerage trading
  • IBKR + Alpaca
  • 365-day audit retention
  • Priority support

Boot your first paper bot in 3 minutes.

Sign up, connect Alpaca paper, walk the wizard, watch the live tail. Free forever, no card required.